Epidemiologic characteristics and predictive analysis of other-infectious diarrhea in Baoji City from 2004 to 2016
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摘要: 目的 对2004-2016年宝鸡市其他染性腹泻疫情资料进行分析,了解其流行病学特征和变化趋势,为制定相应预防和控制策略提供科学依据。方法 收集整理“疾病监测信息报告管理系统”中2004-2016年宝鸡市报告的其他感染性腹泻病例资料并进行描述性分析。结果 2004-2016年宝鸡市共报告其他感染性腹泻40 675例,年平均发病率约为84.09/10万。发病呈波浪式上升态势,每4~5年有一个流行高峰。在报告的病例中,3岁以下儿童占报告总病例数的62.47%,患者人群以散居儿童为主(63.01%)。调查发现,主要的致病病原体为轮状病毒。结论 宝鸡市其他感染性腹泻报告的发病率较高,但实验室病原体检测率低,防控重点为散居儿童。Abstract: Objective To analyze the epidemiological characteristics of other-infectious diarrhea in Baoji City from 2004 to 2016 and to provide scientific evidence for further prevention and developing control strategies. Methods Data were obtained from "Infectious Disease Report Information System in China", and the epidemiological characteristics of incidence distribution in Baoji City from 2004 to 2016 was analyzed. Results A total of 40 675 cases of other infectious diarrhea were reported from 2004 to 2016 years with the annual incidence of 84.09 per 100 000 population. The overall incidence of the amount of reported cases of other infectious diarrhea was on the rise, with a pandemic peak every four to five years. There were 62.47% of total reported cases were children aged 3 year-old. The highest incidence was found among scattered children,accounted for 63.01%. The main pathogen for viral diarrhea was rotavirus. Conclusions The incidence for other-infectious diarrhea in Baoji City is high, but the detection rate for laboratory-confirmed cases is low, the prevention and control of other infection diarrhea should be focused on scattered children.
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