A systematic review on the association between meteorological factors with traffic accident injury
LIANG Ming-ming and ZHANG Yun contributed equally to the article
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摘要: 近年来, 气象因素对健康和伤害的影响受到越来越多的关注, 恶劣天气事件被认为可能是导致交通事故伤害发生的一项重要危险因素。大量的流行病学研究证据表明, 高温、降雨、降雪以及风速和能见度等气象因素与交通事故伤害的发生可能存在一定的联系。本文试图通过总结各种气象因素与交通事故伤害发生之间的关系, 归纳气象因素对交通事故伤害的影响, 系统评价气象因素与交通事故伤害之间的关联, 并对如何进一步开展相关研究进行了讨论。Abstract: In recent years, the impact of meteorological factors on health and injury has been paid more and more attention. Severe weather events were considered to be an important risk factor for traffic accident injuries. Evidence from a large number of epidemiological studies suggests that meteorological factors, including high temperatures, rainfall, snowfall, wind and visibility, might be related to the occurrence of traffic accidents. This systematic review attempts to summarize the current research status of meteorological factors on traffic accident injury, systematically review the relationship between meteorological factors and traffic accident injury, and discuss how to further carry out related research.
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Key words:
- Meteorological factors /
- Traffic accidents /
- Traffic accident injury /
- Public health
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表 1 文献基本特征的描述
Table 1. Characteristics of included studies
序号 第一作者 发表年份 地点 研究持续时间 气象因素 模型方法 NOS评分 1 Omranian[6] 2018 德克萨斯州(美国) 2015-2016 降雨 基于碰撞的配对分析 9 2 杜正静[7] 2016 贵州省(中国) 2008-2014 能见度 - 6 3 Gao[8] 2016 汕头(中国) 2003-2015 风速 多元线性回归分析 7 4 Naik[9] 2016 内布拉斯加州(美国) 2009-2011 风速 随机参数有序Logistic和多项Logistic回归模型 8 5 孙丽[10] 2016 辽宁(中国) 2010-2014 降雪 - 5 6 Basagaňa[11] 2015 西班牙 2000-2011 温度 Poisson回归模型 8 7 Seeherman[12] 2015 加利福尼亚州(美国) 2007-2013 降雪 Poisson回归和负二项式回归模型 8 8 Bergel-Hayat[13] 2013 法国, 荷兰和雅典地区 1975-2005 温度 Poisson回归和负二项回归模型 7 9 El-Basyouny[14] 2012 埃德蒙顿市(加拿大) - 降雪 多元回归模型 5 10 Rosselló[15] 2011 巴利阿里群岛 2000-2006 温度 Poisson回归模型和负二项回归模型 8 11 Abdel-Aty[16] 2011 佛罗里达州(美国) 2003-2007 能见度 多级有序Logistic模型 8 12 Malyshkina[17] 2009 印地安那(美国) 1995-1999 温度 马尔可夫切换负二项模型 5 13 Brijs[18] 2008 荷兰 2001-2012 温度 整数自回归模型 7 14 Aguero-Valverde[19] 2006 宾夕法尼亚州(美国) 1996-2000 降雨 贝叶斯层次模型和负二项式模型 8 15 Hermans[20] 2006 荷兰 2002-2003 风速 负二项回归模型 8 16 Eisenberg[21] 2005 美国 1975-2000 降雪 负二项式回归模型 8 17 Edwards[22] 1999 威尔士 1996-1997 能见度 - 5 18 Edwards[23] 1998 英格兰和威尔士 1980-1990 能见度 - 5 19 Nofal[24] 1997 利雅得(沙特阿拉伯) 1989-1993 温度 卡方检验与相关性检验 7 20 Brown[25] 1997 魁北克(加拿大) 1989-1992 降雪 非线性相关模型 7 21 Levine[26] 1995 火奴鲁鲁(美国) 1990-1991 风速 简单回归模型 7 22 Fridstr⌀m[27] 1995 丹麦, 芬兰, 挪威和瑞典 1977-1987 降雪 Poisson回归模型 6 23 Shankar[28] 1995 西雅图(美国) 1988-1993 降雪 负二项回归模型 8 24 Andrey[29] 1993 卡尔加里和埃德蒙顿(加拿大) 1979-1983 降雨 - 7 25 Baker[30] 1992 英国 1990 风速 - 6 26 Jones[31] 1991 西雅图(美国) 1987-1989 降雨 Poisson回归模型 6 27 Satterthwaite[32] 1976 加利福尼亚州(美国) 1970-1971 降雨 线性相关分析模型 5 -
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