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CN 34-1304/RISSN 1674-3679

Volume 24 Issue 5
Jul.  2020
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Article Contents
ZHANG Chi, ZHANG Xu-bin, YAO Li-jun, XU Lu, XU Guang-xing, ZHANG Zhi-hua, JIANG Su-hong, XIE Run-sheng, LI Li-ping. Epidemiological characteristics and temporal-spatial clustering analysis of hand, foot and mouth disease in Shantou City[J]. CHINESE JOURNAL OF DISEASE CONTROL & PREVENTION, 2020, 24(5): 573-578. doi: 10.16462/j.cnki.zhjbkz.2020.05.015
Citation: ZHANG Chi, ZHANG Xu-bin, YAO Li-jun, XU Lu, XU Guang-xing, ZHANG Zhi-hua, JIANG Su-hong, XIE Run-sheng, LI Li-ping. Epidemiological characteristics and temporal-spatial clustering analysis of hand, foot and mouth disease in Shantou City[J]. CHINESE JOURNAL OF DISEASE CONTROL & PREVENTION, 2020, 24(5): 573-578. doi: 10.16462/j.cnki.zhjbkz.2020.05.015

Epidemiological characteristics and temporal-spatial clustering analysis of hand, foot and mouth disease in Shantou City

doi: 10.16462/j.cnki.zhjbkz.2020.05.015
Funds:  Science and Technology Planning Project of Guangdong Province(2016A020216026)
More Information
  • Corresponding author: LI Li-ping, E-mail:lpli@stu.edu.cn
  • Received Date: 2019-10-21
  • Rev Recd Date: 2020-01-20
  • Publish Date: 2020-05-10
  •   Objective   To explore the epidemiological characteristics and temporal-spatial clustering of hand, foot and mouth disease(HFMD) from 2009 to 2018 in Shantou City, as a means of providing a scientific basis for conducting effective control strategies.   Methods   The epidemic data of HFMD from 2009 to 2018 was collected. Spatial autocorrelation analysis and spatiotemporal scan statistics were used to analyse the clustering of HFMD in time and space.   Results   A total of 77 814 cases of HFMD were reported in Shantou City from 2009 to 2018. The annual average incidence was 143.52/100 000. Children under three years old comprised the HFMD high-risk population.The major HFMD-incidence peak period was from April to July, and the secondary incidence peak period was from September to November. Global and local spatial autocorrelation analysis demonstrated that positive spatial autocorrelation was observed at street(town) level. Twenty-five streets(towns) of Shantou City were hotspot areas, indicating the high incidence of HFMD. Two clustering was found by time-space scanning from 2009-2018, and the Class 1 clustering area(RR=3.56, LLR=9 444.26, P < 0.001) centred on Tongyi and Xinfu street, with a radius of 10.05 km, involving 25 streets(towns) of Shantou City.   Conclusions   A significant feature of spatiotemporal clustering was shown in the HFMD incidence in Shantou City from 2009 to 2018. Effective prevention and control measures should be undertaken for the high-risk population in high-prevalence area and season to decrease the incidence of HFMD in Shantou City.
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