The combined effect of obesity and family history of diabetes on the incidence of hyperglycemia
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摘要: 目的 探讨南京社区居民糖尿病家族史和肥胖对高血糖发病的联合作用。方法 采用多阶段分层整群抽样的方法,对30岁及以上的居民进行调查。符合条件的调查对象共3 376名,剔除已确诊的高血糖患者(476例),最终纳入2 900例非高血糖的人群作为基线样本,3年后开展随访调查。应用Cox回归模型分析糖尿病家族史与肥胖的联合作用对高血糖发生的风险比。结果 3年后共随访2 093名调查对象,随访率为72.2%。高血糖3年累计发病率为7.5%;无糖尿病家族史/无肥胖组累计发病率最低(6.4%),有糖尿病家族史/肥胖组最高(13.3%)。多因素Cox回归分析显示,与无糖尿病家族史/无肥胖组相比,有糖尿病家族史/无肥胖组、有糖尿病家族史/肥胖组发生高血糖是其1.63倍(HR=1.63,95%CI:1.02~2.60,P=0.042)和2.37倍(HR=2.37,95%CI:1.36~4.13,P=0.002);有糖尿病家族史/有肥胖组发生高血糖风险最高。结论 糖尿病家族史和肥胖共存会增加高血糖发病风险,提示具有糖尿病家族史的人群控制体重有利于高血糖的预防。Abstract: Objective To investigate the combined effect of obesity and family history of diabetes on the incidence of hyperglycemia in Nanjing. Methods Population-based cross-sectional study was conducted on local residents aged 30 and above in Nanjing by a multi-stage stratified cluster sampling method. The subjects who were non-hyperglycemia in the baseline were selected for the three-year follow-up survey. Cox proportional hazards model was used to estimate the combined effect of obesity and family history of diabetes on the incidence of hyperglycemia. Results Of 2 900 subjects without hyperglycemia in baseline, 2 093 participated in the follow-up survey, and follow-up proportion was 72.2%. Three-year cumulative incidence of hyperglycemia was 7.5%, which was 6.4% in the subgroup without family history of diabetes/no obesity and 13.3% in the subgroup with family history of diabetes/obesity. By multivariable Cox regression model, the subgroup with family history of diabetes/no obesity (HR=1.63,95% CI:1.02-2.60,P=0.042) and with family history of diabetes/obesity (HR=2.37,95% CI:1.36-4.13,P=0.002) had a gradually increased risk of hyperglycemia, when compared to those without family history of diabetes/no obesity. The risk of hyperglycemia was the highest in the subgroup with family history of diabetes/obesity (all P<0.05). Conclusions In the Nanjing population, a family history of diabetes and coexistent obesity may increase the risk of hyperglycemia, suggesting that weight control is conducive to the prevention of hyperglycemia among the population with family history of diabetes.
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Key words:
- Hyperglycemia /
- Diabetes /
- Obesity /
- Follow up study
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