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CN 34-1304/RISSN 1674-3679

Volume 27 Issue 4
Apr.  2023
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Article Contents
HAN Gangfei, TIAN Jing, HE Zixuan, ZHANG Yajing, WU Tingyu, ZHANG Yanbo, HAN Qinghua. Death risk prediction after PCI in patients with coronary heart disease and heart failure based on random forest[J]. CHINESE JOURNAL OF DISEASE CONTROL & PREVENTION, 2023, 27(4): 425-430. doi: 10.16462/j.cnki.zhjbkz.2023.04.009
Citation: HAN Gangfei, TIAN Jing, HE Zixuan, ZHANG Yajing, WU Tingyu, ZHANG Yanbo, HAN Qinghua. Death risk prediction after PCI in patients with coronary heart disease and heart failure based on random forest[J]. CHINESE JOURNAL OF DISEASE CONTROL & PREVENTION, 2023, 27(4): 425-430. doi: 10.16462/j.cnki.zhjbkz.2023.04.009

Death risk prediction after PCI in patients with coronary heart disease and heart failure based on random forest

doi: 10.16462/j.cnki.zhjbkz.2023.04.009
Funds:

National Natural Science Foundation of China 81970204

National Natural Science Foundation of China 82103958

Shanxi Provincial Key Research and Development Program 201903D421024

More Information
  • Corresponding author: ZHANG Yanbo, E-mail: sxmuzyb@126.com; HAN Qinghua, E-mail: syhqh@sohu.com
  • Received Date: 2022-01-05
  • Rev Recd Date: 2022-04-22
  • Available Online: 2023-04-28
  • Publish Date: 2023-04-10
  •   Objective  The study's objective is to use a random forest algorithm to analyze the influencing factors of death within a year after percutaneous coronary intervention (PCI) in patients with coronary atherosclerotic heart disease (coronary heart disease, CHD) and heart failure (HF).  Methods  A total of 1 078 inpatients who accepted PCI were enrolled from the First Hospital of Shanxi Medical University and Shanxi Cardiovascular Hospital from January 2014 to July 2019. All participants were followed up for 1 year, and death was chosen as the endpoint. A random forest algorithm was used to establish a prognostic model to analyze the influencing factors of death in the first year after PCI.  Results  The random forest model showed that red blood cell distribution width (RDW), heart rate, GLU, plasma albumin, and N-terminal pro-B-type natriuretic peptide (NT-proBNP) were the top five influencing factors of death.  Conclusions  RDW, heart rate, GLU, plasma albumin, and NT-proBNP were the top five influencing factors of death within a year after PCI in patients with CHD and HF. Our results provided a theoretical basis for the clinical evaluation of the benefits and risks for patients and the selection of treatment plans for doctors.
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