Epidemiological characteristics and temporal-spatial clustering analysis of severe hand-foot-mouth disease in Nanjing from 2009 to 2016
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摘要: 目的 了解南京市重症手足口病(hand-foot-mouth disease,HFMD)的流行特征,并分析时空聚集性,为HFMD的重点防控工作提供依据。方法 采用描述流行病学方法,分析2009-2016年南京市报告的重症HFMD流行病学和病原学特征,采用时空重排扫描分析时空聚集性特征。结果 2009-2016年南京市共报告重症病例1 526例,年均报告191例(93~284例);重症病例占HFMD比例为11‰(6‰~20‰),无趋势变化(Z=1.5,P=0.125),5岁及以下儿童重症病例报告发病率为53/10万(21/10万~76/10万)。4~7月报告病例占54%;病例中男性占64%,年龄中位数为2岁(0~13岁),5岁及以下占97%,1~3岁占75%;散居儿童占67%,幼托儿童占31%。除2013年外,其他各年均探测到时空聚集区域(均有P<0.001),聚集地区由中心城区向南部江宁、雨花台和溧水转移,聚集时间多为3~7月。重症病例肠道病毒阳性检出率为39%(17%~70%),阳性标本中75%(54%~89%)为EV71,5%(0~17%)为CoXA16。结论 南京市重症HFMD流行特征与普通病例一致,但病原以EV71为主,应加强重点地区和人群监测,宣传接种EV71疫苗。Abstract: Objective To analyze epidemiological characteristics of hand-foot-mouth disease (HFMD) in Nanjing, and to explore the temporal and spatial clustering, in order to provide decision making strategy for control and prevention of severe HFMD. Methods Descriptive epidemiologic methods were used to analyze severe HFMD data in Nanjing during 2009-2016 from the Chinese Disease Surveillance Information Reporting System. Time-space rescheduling scanning analysis was used to explore spatial characteristics. Results A total of 1 526 severe HFMD cases were reported in Nanjing from 2009 to 2016, the annual average cases was 191(93 to 284). The proportion of severe HFMD was 11‰ (6‰-20‰) and there was no significant change in the tendency (Z=-1.5, P=0.125). The reported incidence rate for population ≤ 5 years old was 53/100 000 (21/100 000 to 76/100 000). The peak time was April to July (54%) in each year. The proportion of male cases was 64%. The median age was 2 (0-13) years. The proportion of cases aged under 5 years was 97%, in which cases aged 1-3 years was 75%. The proportion for scattered children was 67% and for preschool children was 31%. The temporal and spatial clustering existed among severe HFMD cases between 2009 and 2016 except for 2013, which was shifting to the south of the city, including Jiangning, Yuhuatai and Lishui, from the centre. The temporal dimension of severe HFMD was from March to July in each year (all P<0.001). The positive rate of Enterovirus for severe HFMD cases was 39% (17%~70%). The proportion of EV71 and CoXA16 were 75% (54%-89%) and 5% (0-17%), respectively. Conclusions Epidemiological characteristics of severe HFMD cases were consistent with common cases in Nanjing. EV71 was the main pathogen which caused the severe cases. Monitoring among high risk areas and populations and the EV71 vaccination are essential measures.
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